The campaign is ending. What will happen with our democracy?Plus: A word on the endorsement decision. Republicans fail an election legal challenge (again).
https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2024/10/30/mailbag-campaign-close-democracy-election/With less than a week before Election Day, I take your questions and point to a noteworthy piece of journalism and legal decision.
A reader asks: We have read about the damage former president Donald Trump could do if elected. Given the fact he always lies, some of his threats are presumably lies, too. What do you think is the most likely damage Trump will do?
Answer: He will most likely make unilateral decisions, such as replacing 50,000 civil servants with MAGA lackeys and ordering mass roundups of undocumented immigrants. I would also expect to see him end aid to Ukraine. He very well could pardon all people convicted of offenses related to the Jan. 6, 2021, insurrection. These authoritarian actions would have horrifying consequences for democracy here and abroad.
A reader asks: Clearly, there are ways to skew aggregate polls with quick, less-scientific polls. What could help increase reliability of the aggregates and stop the troll-polls from influencing analysis?
Answer: I think there needs to be less polling and far less coverage of polling. Months ahead of the race, polls have virtually no meaning. Even professional polls closer to the election are misrepresented. And when a race is within the margin of error, obsessive polling followed by hysteria over minor changes misleads the voters into thinking the race is changing. In any event, all of this nonnews takes the place of much needed, substantive coverage.
A reader asks: I’m curious why Trump (and his fellow liars) aren’t being sued more often for the many lies they tell about people.
Answer: People do not want to suffer further abuse, they might lack the resources and/or they do not want to devote time and emotional energy to years of litigation. We should appreciate E. Jean Carroll’s extraordinary legal action given the toll such endeavors take.
A reader asks: I am really dumbfounded at how so many journalists are still describing Trump as a “political candidate.” He is attempting to overthrow and destroy our entire constitution and democracy. At this stage, why are journalists talking as if this is just another election and he is just another politician?
Answer: Many are stuck in a paradigm of “neutrality,” ill-suited to a time when one candidate has no commitment to the truth or democracy. Others want to perpetuate the thrill of a “horserace.” I implore them to spend the time and effort it takes to put this election in context, starting by examining fascist movements and getting the insights of mental health experts.
A reader asks: Do you believe that women will be a deciding factor in this election? I read your book, “Resistance,” three years ago and found it quite worth while. After the Dobbs decision in 2022, I feel that women will be even more critical in this election. Don’t you?
Answer: Thanks for the plug! Yes, I do. When you consider that women vote in larger numbers than men, that most are Democrats, that Democrats have overperformed in elections since Dobbs and that Harris (with an assist from former first lady Michelle Obama) has skillfully described the issue as a matter of freedom and of women’s lives, this could be the most decisive issue of the cycle — up and down the ballot.
Further thoughts
The vast majority of the questions this week regarded Post owner Jeff Bezos’s decision not to endorse a presidential candidate (which he personally defended) — and my reaction to it. As many of you know, I signed onto a letter with 20 other columnists protesting the decision. I second the columns from my colleagues Dana Milbank, Ruth Marcus and Karen Tumulty, not to mention the ever-witty Alexandra Petri.
As I posted last weekend: To the hundreds of readers who have reached out directly through the chat or email (and thousands more on social media), I am very sad to see you cancel subscriptions, but I am touched more than I can say by your words and your loyalty. If I did not respond personally, it is because the volume has gotten out of hand. But I have read each and every one.
The conflict inherent in a newspaper owner with a major outside business dependent on substantial income from the federal government remains. That conflict can potentially endanger the independence and credibility of The Post absent courage and moral clarity from its owner and absolute transparency from its management.
I am reminded in particular of two of the seven principles handed down from Eugene Meyer, who owned The Post from 1933 to 1946: “The newspaper’s duty is to its readers and to the public at large, and not to the private interests of its owners,” and “In the pursuit of truth, the newspaper shall be prepared to make sacrifices of its material fortunes, if such course be necessary for the public good.” When we cannot uphold those maxims, The Post will no longer be The Post.
Finally, I have been among the fiercest critics of Trump and his fascist movement. I intend to continue to carry on from my present platforms — The Post, MSNBC and my podcast, Jen Rubin’s Green Room. If that changes, my readers will be the first to know.
Journalism 101
“Trump: ‘I Need the Kind of Generals That Hitler Had,’” reads the headline for Atlantic editor Jeffrey Goldberg’s recent piece. The subheadline reads: “The Republican nominee’s preoccupation with dictators, and his disdain for the American military, is deepening.” Goldberg goes on to address the story of “Vanessa Guillén, a 20-year-old Army private, [who] was bludgeoned to death by a fellow soldier at Fort Hood, in Texas” (followed by Trump’s racist, disrespectful outburst when told of the cost of the funeral) as well as Goldberg’s interview with former chief of staff and retired Marine general John F. Kelly. The piece also reviews reporting on Trump’s comments about and interaction with the military.
The enormity of all of the evidence of Trump’s contempt for servicemen and servicewomen is breathtaking. Each documented incident reinforces the reliability of other reports. Trump is nothing if not consistent.
Goldberg’s larger point should be shouted from the rooftops: “In Trump’s mind, traditional values — values including those embraced by the armed forces of the United States having to do with honor, self-sacrifice, and integrity — have no merit, no relevance, and no meaning.” And if that doesn’t send chills down your spine, I do not know what will.
Legal highlight
In a major win for voting rights, “The Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruled that counties must count provisional ballots cast in person by voters who mistakenly submitted ‘naked’ mail-in ballots that lacked an inner secrecy envelope,” Democracy Docket reported. The 4-3 ruling concluded:
Following the commands of the Election Code as interpreted by this Court, the Board properly disregarded Electors’ mail-in ballots as void. However, it erred in refusing to count Electors’ provisional ballots. Subsection (a.4)(5)(i) required that, absent any other disqualifying irregularities, the provisional ballots were to be counted if there were no other ballots attributable to the Electors. There were none. Subsection (a.4)(5)(ii)(F) provides that the provisional ballot “shall not be counted if the elector’s absentee ballot or mail-in ballot is timely received by a county board of elections.” Again, there were no other ballots attributable to Electors, so none could be timely received. Therefore, Subsection (a.4)(5)(ii)(F) is inapplicable and the command of Subsection (a.4)(5)(i) controls: “the county board of elections … shall count the [provisional] ballot.”
The case illustrates the degree to which Republicans will try to disqualify perfectly valid ballots on hyper-technical grounds. The win is a victory for voting rights and common sense. However, it should also put us on notice. We should prepare for the dozens, if not hundreds, of absurd challenges the GOP is prepared to launch before, on and after Election Day.