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Crypto Currency = ROFLMAO

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Crypto Currency = ROFLMAO
« on: May 18, 2022, 03:44:35 PM »
Six signs crypto investment is a classic Ponzi scheme

A New York man is accused of running a cryptocurrency Ponzi scheme that collected $59 million from hundreds of participants


https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/05/18/fbi-eminifx-crypto-pyramid-scam/




A cryptocurrency ATM setup in a convenience store in Miami. (Joe Raedle/Getty Images)


The recent cryptocurrency crash won’t deter investors looking to get rich fast in a new technology they barely understand. It also won’t stop the many crypto-scammers who understand the psychology behind the bitcoin bubble, the mind-set that leads investors to willfully ignore the blood-red flags that warn they are being conned.

The criminal activity surrounding cryptocurrency is a growing concern to law enforcement. The FBI has formed a new specialized team — the Virtual Asset Exploitation Unit — dedicated to cryptocurrency crimes. The Securities and Exchange Commission announced it’s nearly doubling the number of staffers in its unit responsible for protecting investors in crypto markets.

Investors by the thousands are being duped into investing in cryptocurrency-related fraud schemes. The scams range from bogus cryptocurrencies to people who have lost money believing they would profit from crypto mining ventures.

“New financial frontiers can also generate fresh opportunities for old-fashioned fraud,” said Damian Williams, U. S. Attorney for the Southern District of New York, after announcing charges against a New York man accused of misrepresenting to investors that he had purchased specialized cryptocurrency-mining computers.

I’m a student of scams. I’ve written about them in my column and uncovered one illegal scheme that led state authorities to shut it down.

I frequently read criminal complaints looking for the answer to what we natural-born skeptics wonder: How do con artists get people to believe their scams?

Even after I’ve exposed a fraud, victims blamed me for outing the con.

It’s not enough to say to potential victims, “If it’s too good to be true, it probably is.”

Victims clearly find the scams believable. So then: What’s the recipe for the trickery?

To find that answer, it helps to dissect the deceit.

Let’s look at the case involving another New Yorker, Eddy Alexandre, who was arrested and accused this month of running a cryptocurrency and foreign exchange trading Ponzi-like scheme that collected $59 million from investors.

Crypto’s plummet tests the durability of a hype-driven industry

A Justice Department complaint alleges Alexandre’s platform, EminiFX, invested relatively little money from the victims in crypto or foreign exchange trading. Instead the money collected from investors was used to fund his lavish lifestyle, including the purchase of a $155,000 BMW.

Alexandre primarily traded individual stocks, investing about $9 million of people’s funds and losing more than $6.2 million, according to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which filed a civil enforcement action against Alexandre and EminiFX.

Alexandre is also charged with commodities and wire fraud. He has entered a plea of not guilty, according to the Justice Department.

The attorney representing Alexandre did not respond to requests for comment.

The accusations against Alexandre, like so many other similar cases, can be instructive in what not to do. So here are six signs of a classic Ponzi scheme.

Sign No. 1: Promise returns that seem plausible. Many people no doubt may recall that Bernie Madoff, the mastermind of one of the largest Wall Street Ponzi schemes, consistently paid out an annual return of about 12 percent, which seemed reasonable at that time.

That should have tipped folks off. Market returns are unpredictable.

In the complaint about EminiFX, the CFTC said the company promised potential participants that they would receive guaranteed returns of at least 5 percent “every single week.”

A photo, obtained by the FBI, showed a whiteboard in the EminiFX office that had the following wording: “Never less than 5%[,] never more than 9.98%!!!”

“This statement appears to indicate that the ‘weekly profit’ was not based on actual investment returns but was fictitious,” according to the FBI. “Returns could not be predicted to fall within a narrow range.”

If you are presented with a moneymaking opportunity promising easy earnings or extraordinarily consistent investment returns, I can assure you it’s very likely a scam.

Sign No. 2: Promoters’ ostentatious wealth display. Con artists want you to want what they have. They need to look like they have money. They wear expensive clothes or drive luxury vehicles. They host parties and hold regular conference calls bragging about their wealth.

Want to know what a millionaire looks like? Read “The Millionaire Next Door.”

Ordinary millionaires don’t have a need to prove their net worth, but scammers do.

Sign No. 3: Proprietary secrets prevent full disclosure. Madoff was very secretive about how he achieved returns for his investors.

On its website, EminiFX says investors earned relatively high returns through automated investments in cryptocurrency and foreign exchange trading. But when asked to explain the technology behind the business model, the FBI alleges Alexandre told investors it was a “trade secret.”

When it comes to investing full — verifiable — disclosure is your safety net.

Sign No. 4: Recruiting is key. A successful Ponzi scheme needs new money.

Who better to build trust for their scheme than the people investors know personally?

Sign No. 5: Participants brag about their payouts. What keeps a Ponzi scheme going is people bragging about how much money they’ve made.

I found several videos on YouTube of individuals sharing how they made money from EminiFX.

One thing stood out. They didn’t talk about how the money was made. They just boasted about their returns.

Sign No. 6: Cashing out becomes difficult. At some point, the Ponzi scheme collapses or law enforcement shuts it down.

To protect what may be left of investors’ money, EminiFX has been placed in receivership.

So far about 1,000 investors have reached out to Raines Feldman, the law firm handling the receivership, according to David A. Castleman, who has been appointed temporary receiver for EminiFX.

Castleman said investors should not continue to use the EminiFX online platform but instead send an email to EMiniFX.Receiver@raineslaw.com and include the name on their account, an email address, a mobile number, and the amount they invested.

But some investors will be hard to convince. “The minute we start accumulating wealth and raising our voices, that’s when the adversaries tackle us down,” one YouTube user wrote in the comment section of a video about the shutdown of EminiFX.
« Last Edit: May 18, 2022, 03:47:58 PM by Administrator »

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Re: Crypto Currency = ROFLMAO
« Reply #1 on: June 06, 2022, 08:20:54 AM »
Crypto scams are on the rise, draining more than $1 billion in last year

More than 46,000 Americans have been taken in, a new FTC report finds

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/06/03/crypto-scams-ftc/



Americans have lost more than $1 billion to cryptocurrency scams since the start of last year, as criminals exploit rising popular interest in scoring quick digital riches, according to a new analysis by the Federal Trade Commission.

Crypto-based con jobs now account for a fourth of all dollars lost to such fraud, taking in more than 46,000 people from the beginning of 2021 through March, the report found. The losses in crypto last year were almost 60 times what they were in 2018.

And those numbers likely represent a small fraction of the total losses, since most of the crimes go unreported, according to Emma Fletcher, the FTC senior data researcher who wrote the report.

Investment scams promising swift and easy paydays account for the bulk of the crypto fraud, totaling $575 million in losses. Fraudsters frequently lure victims on social media, then show their investments making fake gains. In some cases, the FTC found, investors successfully complete “test” withdrawals, convincing them the arrangement is sound and encouraging them to plow in more money that they are then unable to recover.

“Given that investment scams are really driving this, it’s very important for people to understand that any promises of huge returns, or that your investments can be quickly multiplied, are obviously a scam,” Fletcher said. “No return on a crypto investment is guaranteed.”

So-called romance scams — in which thieves posing as potential love interests ensnare people on dating apps or social networks, then persuade them to invest in fraudulent crypto schemes — cost victims $185 million, according to the report. A single such scam last year probably took in more than 5,000 victims and made off with more than $66 million, a Washington Post investigation found.

People between 20 and 49 were more than three times as likely as older cohorts to be taken in by crypto grift, the FTC found. And crypto scams made up 35 percent of the fraud suffered by people in their 30s.

Crypto’s lack of federal oversight has helped make it a magnet for criminals. “There’s no bank or other centralized authority to flag suspicious transactions and attempt to stop fraud before it happens,” the FTC’s report said. Plus, “crypto transfers can’t be reversed — once the money’s gone, there’s no getting it back.”

Fletcher said potential crypto investors, in addition to being wary of promises of big returns or enticements from dating app matches, should steer clear of pitches on social media. “Even when it’s somebody who may very well be their friend, the account could have been hacked,” she said.


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Re: Crypto Currency = ROFLMAO
« Reply #2 on: June 13, 2022, 09:09:13 PM »
Major cryptocurrency bank Celsius freezes withdrawals, chilling market

In a letter, the company suggests it could lack the funds to honor requests from depositors

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/06/13/celsius-crypto-bank-withdrawals-freeze/



Embattled cryptocurrency bank Celsius’s dramatic step late Sunday night to halt withdrawals by its nearly 2 million users rattled crypto markets Monday and underscored fears that some of the sector’s largest companies are on shaky financial ground.

“Due to extreme market conditions, today we are announcing that Celsius is pausing all withdrawals, Swap, and transfers between accounts,” the company, officially called the Celsius Network, said in a statement. “We are taking this action today to put Celsius in a better position to honor, over time, its withdrawal obligations.”

In layman’s terms, this means that people who deposited money with Celsius to reap its famously high returns can’t, for the time being, get it out. The company says it has 1.7 million users and is believed to be holding about $8 billion in deposits, which are now frozen for investors.

No timetable was offered for when withdrawals would be restored.

The news caused the largest cryptocurrencies to plunge — bitcoin dropped 12 percent as of late Monday morning and ethereum plunged 15 percent. There is a feedback loop of sorts here; it was a drop of more than 10 percent for each currency in the days before the announcement that probably contributed to Celsius’s liquidity issues in the first place.

Celsius’s own coin has dropped from a high of $7 last year to 21 cents.

Celsius is a “decentralized” or “DeFI” bank that lends and borrows crypto much like a financial institution does for dollars, but without much of the usual banking infrastructure.

Celsius offers exceedingly high returns to those who deposit crypto with it. Before the halt, that rate was 18.6 percent, a multiple many times that of traditional banks and has in the past climbed as high as 30 percent. That has led critics to say it does not have the assets on hand to back up the deposits should enough investors demand their money back.

In the past year, state governments have asked many of the same questions. Last September, New Jersey’s Bureau of Securities sent the firm a cease-and-desist letter, while Alabama and Texas have also demanded it answer questions about its liquidity. (The firm has offices in New Jersey, as well as Europe and the Middle East.) The New York attorney general also has requested more information on Celsius’s business.

Unlike traditional banks, crypto lenders have no regulatory requirement to demonstrate sufficient assets, while investors have no protection from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which insures deposits in banks, should a crypt bank lack funds during a run.

A high level of interconnectedness also prevails with crypto, with many companies borrowing from or investing in each other, potentially amplifying challenges.

Celsius in the past has borrowed as much as $1 billion from Tether, the “stablecoin” pegged to the dollar, to assure its liquidity. Tether has itself generated questions about whether it has sufficient asset backing.

And it was trades by Celsius that some experts believe caused the crash last month of Terra’s stablecoin, which in turn fueled a larger crypto plunge that has roiled so much of the market including Celsius.

Stephen Diehl, a London-based software engineer who is leading a technologist campaign against crypto in Washington, laid the fault of any potential Celsius unraveling at the door of the government.

“Sadly it’s a regulatory failure on behalf of the SEC,” he said in a message to The Washington Post. “There were red flags on this company for years and they did nothing. These protocols that promise 20%+ yields from no economic activity are basically just a new form of Ponzi scheme. It’s just a shame so many retail investors are going to lose everything when this was very preventable.”

The possibility of contagion to the larger economy of the Celsius action appears limited, though there could be potential downstream effects on Canadian pension-holders. CDPQ, one of that country’s largest pensions, is an investor in the lending platform.

Celsius sought to reassure investors in its statement while offering few commitments.

“There is a lot of work ahead as we consider various options,” it said. “There may be delays,” it added, but maintained “Celsius has valuable assets and we are working diligently to meet our obligations.”

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Re: Crypto Currency = ROFLMAO
« Reply #3 on: June 13, 2022, 09:19:01 PM »
FBI says he ran a crypto Ponzi scheme. Investors refuse to believe it.

EminiFX chief executive Eddy Alexandre has been charged in connection with an online trading scheme

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/06/10/eminifx-crypto-ponzi-scheme-investors/



Faithfully, by 2:30 a.m. on Fridays, Frantz Victorin said he received at least a 5 percent return from EminiFX, an online investment platform that said people could get rich investing in cryptocurrency and the foreign exchange markets, also known as forex.

EminiFX chief executive Eddy Alexandre, a fellow Haitian native living in New York, would explain that investors could withdraw their profits and use the money to pay their mortgage, car note or other bills. Or, they could reinvest the returns, Victorin said.

“Everybody got paid,” Victorin said. “They got their profit in their e-wallet.”

Alexandre, who is also the founder, president and sole owner of EminiFX, was charged in connection with running a Ponzi scheme, according to a complaint filed in the Southern District of New York. The profits people believe they were making were not real, the complaint said.

But to this community of family, friends and fellow church members, Alexandre was like a shepherd leading a flock to what they hoped would be life-changing fortunes.

The weekly returns were so big and consistent, a minimum of 5 percent and sometimes almost 10 percent, that Victorin projected he would become a millionaire after a little less than a year of investing with EminiFX.

“I took out at least four loans from different banks to make sure the dream he was talking about, as a family, we were ready,” Victorin said. He still has faith in Alexandre.

“We believe in this guy,” Victorin said. “We believe in our CEO. He is a good guy, a great guy. And we never met somebody like that, very down-to-earth, very respectful, transparent with a lot of charisma.”

Like so many other investors, Victorin, who lives in Massachusetts, attended Thursday night Zoom meetings, where he said Alexandre talked about being a part of a system where people could make their money work for them instead of them working for money.

“EminiFX is your sure path to financial freedom,” the company website promised. It was an appealing pitch that brought in millions of dollars from thousands of investors in the United States and abroad.



The FBI says the purported proprietary trading platform used by EminiFX was a fraud and that Alexandre was operating a cryptocurrency and foreign exchange Ponzi-like scheme that collected more than $59 million starting in September 2021 until he was taken into custody by the FBI in May.

The Justice Department complaint alleges the platform only invested a relatively small percentage of investor funds and misdirected around $14.7 million to his personal bank account.

“Each week EminiFX’s website falsely represented to investors that they had earned at least 5 percent on their investment, which they could withdraw or reinvest,” the federal complaint said. “Alexandre stated that if an investor invested $100,000, they would be a millionaire within two to three years.”

A separate complaint by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission alleges that only about $9 million of the $59 million raised from investors appears to have been sent to a futures commission merchant for trading purposes. The complaint alleges that trading by Alexandre at an online brokerage racked up over $6 million in losses.

Alexandre has been charged with commodities fraud and wire fraud offenses. Emil Bove, an attorney for Alexandre, did not respond to requests for comment. Alexandre entered a plea of not guilty, according to the Justice Department.

It appears that there were at least 62,000 active EminiFX user accounts, according to a preliminary status report by David Castleman, who has been appointed temporary receiver for EminiFX.

Despite the charges, the investor support of Alexandre is extraordinary. Investors have started a change.org petition defending him. More than 11,000 people so far have signed the petition with many offering prayers for Alexandre.

“I will continue to pray for him, with God by his side, he will come out victorious from this setup,” one person wrote. Many investors wrote that the government targeted Alexandre because he is Black and an immigrant.

“I believe the government is wrong,” one signer said. “They don’t like to see black people do nothing for themselves.” Another wrote, “I signed this petition because the CEO is innocent this is pure racism.”

Rechanka Doristil posted a YouTube video praying on behalf of Alexandre and other investors. “Every week I used to find the 5 percent that he promised or more,” she wrote in an email to The Washington Post. “He is not a scammer for sure.”

Castleman said in his report that over $62 million has been frozen in a number of accounts in the names of EminiFX and Alexandre located at several banks, brokerages, and cryptocurrency exchanges.

Although his investigation is in its very early stages, Castleman said he “has not yet identified an account of EminiFX that contains revenue from an underlying business operation or any legitimate business activity that requires the ongoing use of the business premises or employees.”

Those who are rallying for Alexandre point to the $62 million that the receiver has located as evidence that EminiFX was not a scam. But in a Ponzi scheme, especially one that is relatively new, promoters can deliver promised returns, initially.

Even if there are little or no legitimate business or investment earnings, so long as most people don’t cash out, it is possible to make payouts from investor funds, not returns on any investments.

Even after explaining this to some EminiFX investors, they stood steadfast in their belief that Alexandre will be cleared of all charges.

I believe that they believe. They cling to their trust in Alexandre because the alternative, that they may have been duped, is unthinkable.

“Everything that we were promised, we got it,” said Markens Nicolas, who helped start the change.org petition. “I’m wondering if the charges are real.”


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Re: Crypto Currency = ROFLMAO
« Reply #4 on: June 13, 2022, 09:28:44 PM »
The crypto-skeptics’ voices are getting louder

A growing number of tech and financial experts are issuing warnings about cryptocurrency investments. What will their cries mean?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/2022/06/03/crypto-skeptics-growing/



Maybe it was when the author of the influential book “Black Swan” said bitcoin was worth “exactly zero.”

Perhaps it was the assessment from a billionaire hedge-fund manager that cryptocurrencies are a “limited supply of nothing.”

Or it could just be one of those cultural shifts that happens when one too many celebrities tries to convince us of something.

Whatever the turning point, a growing group is sounding dire warnings about the dangers of cryptocurrency investment. Call them the crypto-catastrophists — bloggers and billionaires, mathematicians and economists, computer-scientists and 2008-crisis prophets and, even, a 2000’s-era Hollywood personality — who have all come together to unleash a warning to government and citizens about cryptocurrency investment. And their voices have, slowly, begun to rise above crypto’s evangelist din.

“For a long time it felt like just a few of us shouting from the rooftops,” said Nicholas Weaver, a computer-security expert from the University of California at Berkeley, who has long mounted both a financial and ethical case against crypto investment. “But I think there are more of us now, and hopefully that will help us be heard.”

On Wednesday, Weaver was one of 26 influential technology personalities to direct those cries to Congress.

In a letter addressed to Senate Majority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.), Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and other congressional leaders, the group outlined what it described as potentially grave dangers of cryptocurrencies.

“The catastrophes and externalities related to blockchain technologies and crypto-asset investments are neither isolated nor are they growing pains of a nascent technology,” it said. “They are the inevitable outcomes of a technology that is not built for purpose and will remain forever unsuitable as a foundation for large-scale economic activity.”

The missive — which was titled “Letter in Support of Responsible Fintech Policy” — did not spell out many policy proposals. But it was clear the group wants dramatic moves to rein in, if not outright eliminate, crypto investing.

“We need to act now to protect investors and the global financial marketplace from the severe risks posed by crypto-assets,” it said.

On Thursday, New York Attorney General Letitia James (D) joined the skeptics, sending out an “investor alert” about the fundamental nature of crypto risks.

“Even well-known virtual currencies from reputable trading platforms can still crash and investors can lose billions in the blink of an eye,” she said, citing conflicts of interest and limited oversight. “Too often, cryptocurrency investments create more pain than gain for investors. I urge New Yorkers to be cautious before putting their hard-earned money in risky cryptocurrency investments that can yield more anxiety than fortune.”

The alert goes further than a warning James issued last year, which focused more sharply on explicit crypto scams.

The catastrophists are, to be sure, still a shaggy group. Members have few formal ties to one another, engaging mainly on social media — a sharp contrast to the coordination by adversaries like crypto platforms FTX and Coinbase, which form an industry that spent $5 million on lobbying efforts last year.

But they can inject urgency into their plea, gathering growing followings with dramatic descriptions of worst-case scenarios. Many traditional economists are not outspoken, they say. And so it is up to them to take up the role of Jeremiah in Jerusalem, warning of a Babylonian reckoning for a society that has slouched into crypto sloth.

Besides Weaver, the letter’s signatories include Harvard cryptographer Bruce Schneier, Google engineer Kelsey Hightower, Netscape Navigator pioneer Jamie Zawinski, the England-based blogger and author David Gerard and Molly White, the popular blogger and social media presence who was one of crypto’s earliest critics.

But the larger group of catastrophists goes beyond the signatories and includes people ranging from “The O.C.” actor Ben McKenzie to a number of finance-world veterans who helped foresee the 2008 subprime-mortgage crisis, including the economist Nourel Roubini, the hedge-fund manager John Paulson and Nassim Taleb, the author and mathematician who wrote the best-selling “Black Swan,” which posits that many of the most impactful events of history were unpredicted.

While disparate of profession, the catastrophists have come to very similar conclusions about the 2020s digital-coin investment craze. A crater is coming, they say. And it’s going to be big.

Many others of course don’t agree. Mayors from Miami to New York are embracing crypto with vigor, while both forward-looking financial firms like Silvergate and blue-chip tech companies like IBM have thrown in with it. A trillion-dollar market capitalization is not going away anytime soon, they say, nor should it.

But the catastrophists say the market’s size only reinforces the stakes. They cite a lack of regulation, a product devoid of inherent value or cash flow, a system whose solvency depends on an ever-larger number of new players and markets manipulated by a few financial elites. All of that, they say, makes for a de facto Ponzi scheme that can only crash.

“You have extremely shoddy traders who are taking advantage of an unregulated market, and they want to skin you and they want to skin you again, and then they want to skin your friends, family and pension funds until eventually there’s nothing left to skin,” said Gerard, a longtime financial blogger and author, offering a colorful version of the catastrophists’ message. “So I and others feel like we need to stand up and say something about it.”

It was a remote prehistoric time — all the way back in 2021 — when cryptocurrency seemed to be ascendant in the mainstream. A new Pew Research study had concluded that 16 percent of Americans used or invested in crypto. Venture capital giant Andreesen Horowitz was humming with a crypto fund. Jack Dorsey was telling Cardi B that bitcoin would replace the dollar.

Shortly after, Larry David went viral with a Super Bowl commercial that only Luddites avoided crypto, while Matt Damon suggested non-crypto investors were cowards. Suddenly that nice couple at the block barbecue was tossing off words like “stablecoin.”

But a crash of Terra’s luna by more than 95 percent, a drop in bitcoin of 56 percent off its all-time high and a continued hammering of their message seems to be tilting the narrative in the catastrophists’ direction. The climate now seems more conducive to the group’s message than ever — maybe.

“Those voices are certainly getting louder,” said Edward Balleisen, a Duke professor and historian of financial bubbles. “But the classic thing in any bubble is there are going to be a lot of people who wave it off and say ‘It’s just a correction’ so keep going.”

He noted that the catastrophists must contend with beloved names sending people the opposite message. “I mean, even with all these warnings you’re going to have Steph Curry on TV in the NBA Finals this weekend telling people how easy it is to invest in crypto,” referring to the Golden State Warriors star’s high-profile FTX ad.

Of course, it’s not at all resolved that crypto-catastrophists are right, and a whole industry is predicated on the idea that they’re not. Crypto executives point to a long history of skepticism where new technology is concerned. Befuddlement characterized Web 1.0 in the mid-1990s, they note, a position that now seems laughably out of touch.

To the skeptics, though, far more economic fundamentals are at play here. They argue that the lack of inherent value makes crypto a “zero-sum” game in which for every winner there’s a loser — akin to gambling — instead of stocks, which not only rely on underlying earnings to determine their price but reward shareholders with dividends, buybacks and other benefits.

Far from saying there are simply some scams within crypto that need to be rooted out — the common refrain of crypto executives — they argue the entire operation is built on sand.

“Investing in crypto is just like what investing in [Bernie] Madoff’s fund in the 1990s would have been — if he had openly admitted, since the beginning, that there was no portfolio, no stock or options trading, not even a small cash reserve,” says the pinned tweet of Jorge Stolfi, a Brazil-based computer science professor, referring to the man who ran the largest Ponzi scheme in history.

Stolfi, a signatory of Wednesday’s letter, is among the most pointed of the crypto catastrophists. Stolfi did not reply to a request from The Washington Post seeking comment. But shortly after the letter went out, he began promoting it, retweeting the messages of a London software engineer named Stephen Diehl. Diehl has become a social media star among the catastrophist set, drawing some 60,000 followers with his own crypto-warnings. (After the letter went out he posted that “Crypto fraud is spiraling out of control” and “regulators are paralyzed and people are getting hurt left and right.” He said it fell to “us as citizens and responsible engineers to help fix the problem we created.”)

Stolfi’s tweet last month asking computer scientists to call out the “dysfunctional payment system” and “technological fraud” around crypto kick-started the letter, which was organized among the signatories with the input of the liberal nonprofit Americans for Financial Reform, an umbrella group advocating for more banking regulation.

Especially noteworthy has been the 2008 crisis prophets, who collectively form a chorus that may prove harder for some serious investors to ignore.

Paulson, who made billions shorting the housing market, told Bloomberg News last August that crypto was “a limited supply of nothing.” He added that cryptocurrencies, “regardless of where they’re trading today will eventually prove to be worthless.”

Taleb goes a step further, offering a mathematical postulate. Despite calling bitcoin the “first organic currency” as recently as 2018, he now believes it should, mathematically speaking, be worth nothing.

“Any probabilistic analysis means zero valuation,” Taleb said in an email to The Post.

His research paper builds the case probabilistically, the mathematical term for extracting likelihood from chaos. Essentially it argues that since there is no possibility of dividends, buybacks or any other revenue to shareholders in the future, it must mathematically be worth nothing now because there is no value to build into it besides subjective demand.

“Owing to the absence of any explicit yield benefiting the holder of bitcoin, if we expect that at any point in the future the value will be zero when miners are extinct, the technology becomes obsolete, or future generations get into other such ‘assets’ and bitcoin loses its appeal for them, then the value must be zero now,” he wrote. Gold, with its real-world uses, is also distinct from cryptocurrency in this regard, he said.

Roubini, who appeared before Congress in 2018 calling crypto the “Mother of All Scams and (Now Busted) Bubbles” has continued the drumbeat, saying another bust is coming and will be even worse than the “crypto winter” that began in 2018.

The critics are also hopeful that environmental concerns might sway public opinion. Creating bitcoin infamously consumes more energy annually than Argentina as it uses massive amounts of computing power to generate the calculations required to mine coins — a point they say should resonate with anyone concerned about the environment.

Even the most dire crypto catastrophists say it is unlikely, at least at the moment, that a crash would bring much contagion to the broader economy. The S&P 500 has a market cap of $40 trillion, dwarfing crypto’s $1 trillion. But they say that doesn’t mean Americans shouldn’t be on guard for such spillover.

“The biggest fear is if it does get into the mainstream economy via retirement funds, it could start bringing other things in the system down with it, like with Fidelity,” said Gerard, noting that company’s plan likely to go into effect later this year that would allow participants to allocate as much as 20 percent of their 401(k) to crypto. “That’s why we have to stop it now.”

Another fear, he cited, would be a run on Tether, which if it is not properly backed by assets, as some say, could domino into credit markets, a possibility that credit-ratings giant Fitch has raised.

If a financial shock wave is looming, it is unclear how much these voices will help head it off. Duke’s Balleisen notes that 2008 was filled with people warning about a housing bubble for at least four years before the collapse, and it did very little.

Then again, he noted, “the big difference is that you have many people in positions of influence now who remember 2008, where you didn’t have anyone in 2008 who remembered 1929.”

Many of the crypto-catastrophists say they know authorities might be slow to act but also say plummeting value could rein in the market on its own. In the past, crypto sell-offs have been curbed as either bargain-seeking investors poured in or, as one University of Texas research paper argued, inside players coordinated purchases to manipulate the market back to an appearance of health.

But that can’t go on forever, the catastrophists say; beyond a certain point, it will just become a self-reinforcing plummet.

“I don’t think you need the government for the crypto space to essentially disappear — people losing a lot of money will do that too,” Weaver said. “Unfortunately that’s a very painful way for it to happen.”

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Re: Crypto Currency = ROFLMAO
« Reply #5 on: November 17, 2022, 10:12:26 PM »
Congress took millions from FTX. Now lawmakers face a crypto reckoning.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/us-policy/2022/11/17/congress-crypto-ftx-regulations-law/

The stunning collapse of the world’s third-largest exchange has forced politicians to grapple with the costs of legislative inaction.



Sam Bankman-Fried, founder of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange, testifies during a Senate hearing in February. (Saul Loeb/AFP/Getty Images)

The sudden collapse of one of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchanges rattled the nation’s capital this week, as lawmakers grappled with the wide-ranging fallout — and began to confront the consequences of neglecting the surging financial sector.

Only a few weeks ago, top Democrats and Republicans alike had been cashing campaign checks and working side-by-side with the vanguards of the industry, including FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried, as they labored to craft new regulation in the frenetic, cutting-edge digital space.

Instead, Bankman-Fried unexpectedly became a potential case study of the costs of congressional inaction. While Washington dithered, he appeared to place risky bets that incinerated his fortune, jeopardized billions of dollars in Silicon Valley capital and upended an entire ecosystem of cryptocurrency start-ups. The lawyer tapped to lead FTX in restructuring, who previously oversaw the bankruptcy of Enron, described the situation Thursday as a “complete failure of corporate controls.”

Investigators in the United States and abroad have opened probes into Bankman-Fried and his holdings. The Treasury Department has quietly placed calls to other large crypto exchanges to assess the risks of a broader contagion. And a slew of congressional committees have readied their own reviews, including a House inquiry announced Wednesday that could see Bankman-Fried testify under oath next month.

In the process, federal policymakers have been left to ask themselves a familiar, if uncomfortable question: Could they have prevented a crisis if they had paid close attention sooner?

“Over the years, the regulators . . . sorta invited them in, these crypto companies, and we’ve seen the damage they’ve caused,” said Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio), the chairman of the Senate Banking Committee.

Brown said he is exploring the need for comprehensive cryptocurrency legislation, something that Congress repeatedly has proposed as the sector grew, yet time and again has failed to achieve in the face of staunch industry lobbying. In that time, a wide array of crypto firms have experienced meteoric rises — and once-unfathomable collapses — on the promise of great wealth that didn’t always materialize.

Still, Brown remained bullish that Congress could rein in cryptocurrency companies that have put investors large and small at risk: “They need to be held accountable.”

In some ways, the tumult around FTX tells the story of a Capitol often outpaced by the deft technology giants ostensibly under its watch.

From the burst of the dot-com bubble at the turn of the millennium to the rampant privacy mishaps at Facebook decades later, federal policymakers historically have been slow to anticipate the troubles of the digital age. Only after massive, costly scandals have lawmakers and regulators been stirred to action, sometimes with less-than-desirable results.

The nascent world of cryptocurrency — where digital tokens replace dollars, investments and payments, all without the need for traders, governments or banks — has presented perhaps the most complicated challenge to date. As an entirely new financial system has come online, Washington has been forced to choose whether to institute stringent rules on crypto or stay out of Silicon Valley’s way.

The U.S. government largely has adopted the latter approach, much to the relief of crypto companies, executives and investors. That has enabled the rapid growth and soaring valuations of bitcoin, a wide array of related currencies and an entire ecosystem of firms to support them. Until recently, that included FTX, a marketplace for buying and selling tokens that boasted its own currency — an exchange that at its height was the third-largest in the world.


FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried stepped down as the company filed for bankruptcy on Nov. 11, following a rapid liquidity crisis at the cryptocurrency group. (Video: Reuters)


But the peril of that approach came into sharp relief as FTX began to unravel. Questions about its finances — and whether Bankman-Fried used FTX deposits in potentially illegal ways — prompted large investors to sell off their FTX-issued tokens, known as FTT. With nowhere to turn and losses mounting, Bankman-Fried filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy last week, setting off a cascading effect that has hammered Silicon Valley venture firms and start-ups that depended on FTX. Other crypto exchanges soon after found themselves at risk, with their own assets tied up in the fallout.

John J. Ray III, who became chief executive of FTX in bankruptcy, told a federal court Thursday that he had never seen in his career “such an absence of trustworthy financial information as occurred here.” He couldn’t figure out what assets the company owned; he struggled to calculate what the firm owed, and to whom; he could not even cobble together a full list of employees who had worked there.

Ray previously supervised the $23 billion dissolution of Enron and its recovery of funds for creditors, yet he suggested the FTX meltdown was in some ways worse.

“From compromised systems integrity and faulty regulatory oversight abroad, to the concentration of control in the hands of a very small group of inexperienced, unsophisticated and potentially compromised individuals, this situation is unprecedented,” he wrote in the court filing.

On Capitol Hill, the fiasco quickly captured unexpectedly wide, bipartisan attention.

The shift began Tuesday, as lawmakers sorted out the repercussions of the 2022 elections. At a news conference normally reserved for Democratic leaders to lob political barbs and issue policy announcements, Rep. Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.), the caucus chair, said the party had plenty of priorities in the waning weeks of the year — and “the situation related to the cryptocurrency industry will be one of them.”

The House Financial Services Committee, led by Rep. Maxine Waters (D-Calif.), on Wednesday announced plans to hold a hearing on FTX, potentially featuring Bankman-Fried’s testimony. “Unfortunately, this event is just one out of many examples of cryptocurrency platforms that have collapsed just this past year,” lamented Waters, describing an “urgency” to act.

Across the Capitol, the fallout from FTX quickly overshadowed what normally might be a somnambulant hearing in the Senate Banking Committee about credit unions. Sen. Patrick J. Toomey (Pa.), its soon-retiring top Republican, seized on the moment to highlight “several high-profile collapses of crypto companies, including one prominent example last week” — a reference to FTX, if not explicitly by name.

Toomey previously has purchased cryptocurrency assets, his personal financial disclosures show. But he focused on the repercussions when a firm like FTX, which was based in the Bahamas, can run roughshod over the U.S. economy.

“As a general matter, the failure of Congress to pass legislation in this space and the failure of regulators to provide clear guidance has created ambiguity that has driven developers and entrepreneurs overseas,” he warned. “And we’ve just once again seen how that ends.”

In recent years, Democrats and Republicans at various turns have tried to regulate cryptocurrency, introducing a range of measures to empower federal agencies and pursue abuses, including fraudulent coin offerings and international money laundering. They’ve also held a number of major hearings, even grilling Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg in 2019 over his company’s doomed crypto effort, known as Libra.

Law-enforcement agencies, meanwhile, have prosecuted some of the worst actors — unveiling charges in August, for example, against 11 individuals allegedly involved in a $300 million pyramid scheme. And President Biden himself recently has been engaged, signing an executive order in March that offered an early road map for how Washington might approach cryptocurrency regulation.

But the government at times has faced blowback for acting too aggressively. This March, for example, a bipartisan group of lawmakers known as the Congressional Blockchain Caucus took aim at the Securities and Exchange Commission over its attempts to “gather information from unregulated cryptocurrency and blockchain industry participants.” Its signatories included Rep. Tom Emmer (R-Minn.), a caucus co-chair who has argued in the past that the SEC has misused its authorities to assert jurisdiction over cryptocurrency.

Emmer is set to serve in a key House leadership role under a Republican majority next year. Appearing at an industry conference on Wednesday, the GOP lawmaker urged Congress not to adopt a “wet blanket” of regulation in the wake of the FTX crisis.

“We need to use the stage that is Congress to promote all of you beyond the walls of the Capitol,” added Emmer, whose comments were first reported by the publication CoinDesk. “People need to understand more out there that they shouldn’t be afraid of this.”

His office declined further comment.

Adding to the challenge, the government has faced an onslaught of lobbying from an increasingly powerful and profitable industry.

Since January alone, cryptocurrency exchanges and their advocates have spent more than $14.8 million to influence regulators and lawmakers, according to lobbying data compiled by OpenSecrets. Bankman-Fried and other FTX leaders, including Ryan Salame, the company’s co-chief executive, also donated more than $70 million in the 2022 election, the analysis showed. That made them the third-largest contributor in the two-year cycle, OpenSecrets found.

“The Senate has trouble keeping up with things that lobbyists prefer the Senate not keep up with,” said Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), a veteran of the 2008 financial crisis, after which she oversaw congressional efforts to keep watch over big banks. Reflecting on the reasons for congressional inaction, she added: “I have said for a very long time now that we need better regulation in this space.”

On Capitol Hill, FTX and its lobbyists actively guided lawmakers in writing legislation that would govern the company and its industry rivals. A regular in Washington, Bankman-Fried personally provided input to Sens. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.) and John Boozman (R-Ark.), who introduced a bill this year that would shift some crypto oversight to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.

The CFTC regulates complicated financial instruments known as derivatives, as well as futures contracts for agricultural products. The crypto industry generally prefers that agency over the SEC, which governs stock and bond markets and is perceived as more aggressive. Lawmakers and administration officials have split over which regulator should have jurisdiction, partly a reflection of the complexity in defining crypto assets — whether they are commodities or securities — under law.

As she raced to a Senate vote this week, Stabenow acknowledged she had solicited feedback from “all the stakeholders … including Sam” on cryptocurrency regulation. A beneficiary of more than $20,000 in campaign donations from Bankman-Fried this election, the senator added she was “extremely surprised, of course — we all were extremely surprised and disappointed” at the downfall of FTX.

But Stabenow still stood by her legislation as an antidote to the risk and abuse seemingly rife in cryptocurrency: “That’s exactly why we need our legislation, so the CFTC can proactively provide regulation and transparency to consumers.”

Other lawmakers, though, feared that the bill had become tainted by FTX’s influence. Brown, the leader of the Senate Banking Committee, specifically acknowledged “concern” that Bankman-Fried and his industry allies had too great a hand in shaping the legislation, noting it “needs major improvement.”

“I think you look at any of the legislation, any legislation written here, [and it’s] always the fingerprints of the big banks. In this case, the big crypto companies are always all over it,” Brown continued. “That’s the fight I make every day in this committee, and it’s the fight we’ll make on this.”

As the FTX collapse rippled through the crypto world, the Biden administration urged Congress to act. On Wednesday, Treasury Secretary Janet L. Yellen issued a public warning about dangers to the economy as she called on lawmakers to fill in the remaining regulatory “gaps.” She said the agency’s prior reports had identified a wide range of “risks” that ultimately were “at the center of the crypto market stresses observed over the past week.”

Behind the scenes, top Treasury officials have been in close contact with major cryptocurrency exchanges and other companies in recent days to assess the FTX fallout, according to an aide who spoke on the condition of anonymity to describe the conversations. Some lawmakers, meanwhile, signaled they were exploring a raft of new proposals in the hopes of protecting Americans who buy, own and sell cryptocurrency.

Sen. Ron Wyden (D-Ore.), a tech expert and leader of the tax-focused Senate Finance Committee, said in an interview that he planned to put forward a “consumer protection package” targeting cryptocurrency in the coming days. The lawmaker worked with other Democrats and Republicans last year in instituting the first-ever tax reporting requirements for digital tokens.

Sen. Mark R. Warner (D-Va.) said this week he had “tried to reserve judgment” given the promise of the technology. But the lawmaker, another top member of the Banking Committee, stressed “there’s a reason we have rules around investor and consumer protection, safety and soundness, and the prevention of financial crime.”

As she left the Tuesday banking hearing, Sen. Cynthia M. Lummis (R-Wyo.) similarly stressed that the FTX meltdown left Congress no choice but to legislate. Lummis, who once took to the Senate floor to “thank god for bitcoin,” has put forward her own, sweeping bill that would shift more oversight to the CFTC.

“I think it’s really important now that senators really focus on digital assets,” she said. “In the past, it’s been easy to put that on the back burner and address other issues that were more front-burner issues. This is now a front-burner issue. … We have put ourselves at a regulatory disadvantage.”


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Re: Crypto Currency = ROFLMAO
« Reply #6 on: November 17, 2022, 10:26:40 PM »


Is crypto a house of cards?

A look behind the scenes of the unstable industry.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/interactive/2022/crypto-exchange-bitcoin-history/?itid=lk_interstitial_manual_6&itid=lk_interstitial_manual_40

Few words outside of politics polarize more than cryptocurrency.

Crypto is among the most urgent of current tech topics, driven by billions of cryptocurrency trades weekly — bitcoin and so many others — and a cultural stigma perhaps unseen in finance since the days of the Wall Street wolves of the 1980s. Almost since its creation, crypto has been characterized by sudden wealth creation, surprise hacks, big scams, bold promises and shattered dreams.

And the craziest part is no one can say what this blackjack table will turn up next. Welcome to crypto’s house of cards.

A mysterious figure named Satoshi Nakamoto sends 10 “bitcoins” to the cryptographer Hal Finney, and a world is unleashed.

Nakamoto — who had previously written a white paper explaining the underlying complex technology — believes the computer-based asset he’s created is far preferable to the traditional banking system, which is under massive strain from the financial crisis just several months earlier. With its unique code and easy transferability, bitcoin will work well across borders and around bureaucracy, Nakamoto argues. And the many digital “books” that his code would create (a.k.a., the blockchain) would ensure the coins couldn’t be faked or hacked. Nakamoto would mine — generate with computer code — some one million bitcoins then disappear from public view the next year. His identity remains unknown.

Bitcoin starts being used — for shadiness. An untraceable “dark net” called Silk Road launches. And for the next few years of its existence, the platform accepts only bitcoin for its black market items.

As more are moved, and mined, the coin’s value begins to fluctuate, suggesting an asset that itself can be traded. Starting out at 30 cents, bitcoin’s value hits $1 early in 2011, rises to above $30 by June and then crashes to $2 by the fall. It was the first bitcoin-price roller-coaster. It wouldn’t be the last.

A Russian Canadian teenager, Vitalik Buterin, writes a white paper titled “A Next Generation Smart Contract & Decentralized Application Platform” and it kick-starts a revolution. Building on Nakamoto’s work, the paper lays out the underpinning of a new kind of blockchain, or digital ledger, that will allow for all sorts of new trades such as NFTs — and further facilitate a libertarian monetary system beyond the reach of government.

Buterin and his partners will create the ethereum blockchain, which will also spin off a crypto token called ETH that competes with bitcoin, as well as jump-start a market that will one day be worth hundreds of billions of dollars.

Meanwhile, bitcoin trading is picking up, and Bloomberg gives it a ticker symbol. Regulators start to notice, as the New York State Department of Financial Services issues a report warning of potential criminal activity.

After attracting scores of customers, a shiny new cryptocurrency platform, Mt. Gox, abruptly pauses users’ ability to withdraw money so it can “obtain a clear technical view of the currency processes.” Untold millions are suddenly unavailable from the platform, which had been whimsically named for the “Magic: The Gathering” card game. The company declares bankruptcy, among the first such events in crypto. It won’t be the last.

A Bloomberg columnist also calls bitcoin one of the worst investments of 2014 — after Forbes had called it the best investment of 2013.

The name Ruja Ignatova might not mean much even to most crypto-traders. But anyone who’s ever been hit by a scam feels, indirectly, the handiwork of the so-called “Cryptoqueen.” The Bulgarian German legal PhD starts selling onecoin, a currency she says will one day replace bitcoin, giving grand presentations around the world. There’s only one problem — it’s a total sham. As much as $4 billion of consumers’ money goes missing.

Ignatova goes on the lam in 2017 and eventually is placed on the FBI’s Ten Most Wanted List. She hasn’t been seen in years. But every crypto scam owes a spiritual debt to the person who first realized that an obscure technology, a cult of personality and reflexive greed can separate people from their life savings.

Seeing bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies starting to attract everyday investors, Changpeng Zhao, a China-born, Canada-raised financial tech executive, launches Binance, an online exchange that allows people to buy and sell crypto. The company will eventually become the biggest exchange in the world.

Meanwhile, new coins are being introduced nearly every day — some 800 by mid-2017. Innovations like tether — a coin whose value is designed to move in tandem with the U.S. dollar — emerge to facilitate trading. Venture capital money is pouring in. Noisy mining operations running crypto’s complex calculations sprout up around the world. Overnight, crypto millionaires known as “whales” proliferate. This is looking less like a cutting-edge way to conduct transactions — that’s too time-consuming — and more like an old-fashioned investment frenzy. And Binance is at the center of it.

The froth of 2017 is followed by the frost of 2018. Right before Christmas 2017, bitcoin is worth nearly $20,000, and many other coins are riding high. The same time a year later, it has fallen to barely $3,000, and many coins have gone away, along with their investors.

The reasons for the crash are many: Global hacks, regulation in Asia, bans on certain coin ads by Facebook and Google. It seems like crypto will never be the same again. A House Financial Services subcommittee conducts a hearing on the risks of crypto. But with the crash, they don’t feel a need to step in.

A pandemic strikes, the world shuts down, and people are suddenly stuck at home with nothing to do. But they have an infusion of cash — buoyed by stimulus checks and all the income they’re not spending elsewhere. Crypto starts looking pretty good again. Forget transactional uses — this is about making a fast investment buck.

An exchange founded the previous year, FTX, starts to gain traction. New cryptobanks like Celsius take off, offering seemingly magical 25 percent returns for depositors who leave their money with it. Bitcoin goes from $6,000 to $60,000, creating more whales. The rush also seeps into weirder provinces. The value of dogecoin, a dog-based coin launched as a satiric commentary on the crypto enterprise, skyrockets thanks to Elon Musk, then crashes. “Rug-pulls”— scams where newly launched coins are hyped by founders who quickly sell them and disappear — multiply. So do crypto-friendly ransomware attacks.

Congress begins to pay more attention — the Senate puts a crypto provision in an infrastructure bill in 2021. Some state regulators also raise concerns, ordering some crypto businesses to stop doing business in their states. FTX founder Sam Bankman-Fried also takes note and becomes a major political donor.

A set of Super Bowl commercials storms the airwaves, and crypto’s cultural moment is here. Pew Research several months earlier had reported that 16 percent of Americans have traded or transacted in cryptocurrency, and the industry wants to grow it further. Bitcoin is now frequently above $40,000. Cryptocompanies are rolling in digital dough — enough to pay Matt Damon, LeBron James, Larry David and others to tout their products. Two NBA arenas are renamed for crypto exchanges.

A growing group of critics — mainly tech figures and academics, but also a handful of lawmakers — raise alarms. But the tech is going mainstream, with legacy entities like Fidelity encouraging more crypto investment. Barely three years removed from the end of the crypto winter, a crypto summer arrives.

Over a few weeks beginning in May, crypto collapses. It starts with terra — a hot stablecoin and a companion token — falling apart. Whales and institutions sell it frantically, wiping out the wealth of hundreds of thousands of investors.

The erosion of something so hot has a negative effect throughout the industry. Crypto-banks Celsius and BlockFi, hedge fund Three Arrows Capital and broker Voyager face liquidity and other issues, with investors in many cases unable to get their money back. Celsius, Three Arrows and Voyager file for bankruptcy. FTX and Sam Bankman-Fried step in to provide a credit facility to BlockFi, for instance, but the long-term solvency of many of these entities is questionable. Trading platform Coinbase lays off 18 percent of its staff, with additional cuts in the fall. Bitcoin hovers in the low 20s for much of the summer, less than half its value from the comparatively go-go days of March.

In September, ethereum is able to move its platform to a faster, cheaper and more environmentally friendly operating mechanism, in a shift known as “The Merge” — a bright spot that turns out to be short-lived.

Over a few dramatic days in November, FTX faces a liquidity crisis and is nearly rescued by Binance. But after reviewing FTX’s books, Binance reneges, forcing FTX to file for bankruptcy. Bankman-Fried resigns as chief executive. Meanwhile, many customers can’t get their money — withdrawals are frozen.

Crypto investment is thrown into turmoil as bitcoin drops to its lowest point in nearly two years. The industry, and world, is left to wonder whether crypto can survive another crisis.



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Re: Crypto Currency = ROFLMAO
« Reply #7 on: November 12, 2023, 09:50:45 AM »
Opinion  Regulating crypto might end it. And that’s just fine.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2023/11/09/sbf-ftx-conviction-crypto-scam/





A jury didn’t have much trouble this month convicting cryptocurrency wunderkind Sam Bankman-Fried. Some say the conviction proved that the industry has always been little more than a combination of sham and scam. Others say his brand of criminality is just as common in traditional markets as in newfangled ones. We say, why not both?

Crypto can seem complicated, but what SBF, as Mr. Bankman-Fried is known, did was simple. He took the money customers deposited on the FTX exchange, where they bought cryptocurrencies such as bitcoin in the hope their value would rise, and gave it to a trading firm that he also owned. The firm, Alameda Research, funneled those funds into bets — on existing crypto tokens as well as on illiquid assets that were affiliated with FTX and SBF (“Samcoins,” some called them). Oh, and some of the money went toward bankrolling political campaigns, buying Bahamas real estate for the FTX inner circle and boosting the company’s profile through celebrity endorsements.

So is this an indictment of crypto or a testament to the ease with which fraudsters navigate the world of finance? Yes and yes.

What happened to FTX occurs in traditional markets. Sometimes, leveraged institutions make bad bets; those bad bets, combined with poor risk management, can result in a run on deposits or mass sell-offs of stock that the institution can’t afford. This can happen even when companies aren’t acting illegally. When they are acting illegally, by failing to meet reserve requirements, or self-dealing, or running pyramid schemes, calamity is all the more likely.

FTX was self-dealing, and it failed to maintain sufficient cash reserves to cover its deposits. Crypto might seem beside the point: The firm broke the law, and it did not matter that the assets in which it self-dealt were cryptocurrency coins. That view isn’t wrong, exactly. But FTX’s identity as a crypto company does matter. The nature of the industry helped bring about its downfall.

FTX didn’t have many rules to follow when it came to liquidity, conflicts of interest or much of anything else. And it didn’t have a designated regulator tasked with looking over its shoulder. Committing crimes is a lot easier with no oversight.

There’s more. FTX couldn’t pay customers back because Alameda couldn’t pay FTX back, and Alameda couldn’t pay FTX back because its funds were tied up in those so-called Samcoins. Sure, this kind of market manipulation isn’t a new concept. Yet the tens of billions of dollars of these coins were worth, according to Alameda’s assets sheet, suddenly transformed into zero dollars for a reason: The tokens had no real value to start with.

Usually, a financial asset is tied to something in the physical world. You decide what a toaster manufacturer’s stock is worth based on its perceived ability to produce and sell toasters. You decide what a crypto token with a Shiba Inu’s face on it or an image of a cartoon ape is worth based on, well, what you figure everyone else thinks it is worth. FTX reportedly paid Tom Brady $55 million for appearing in a Super Bowl ad promoting crypto’s world-changing potential. No wonder: Faith in crypto was literally priceless.

Cryptocurrency’s value depends on people believing in cryptocurrency value. When they believe, the number goes up. When they stop, it plummets.

Crypto is a near-useless commodity that not only enables people to gamble their savings but also helps criminals launder money and evade detection. Even in its best-case scenarios, crypto serves no glaring need. Bitcoin has become a store of value to the point that many refer to it as digital gold; that means it might help people living in countries whose sovereign currency is so devalued or so volatile as to be irrelevant. But its stability depends on belief in its intrinsic value among those holding it. Meanwhile, stablecoins — crypto tokens tied to more traditional currencies — aren’t actually stable. For those that are, a digital dollar would serve the same purpose, with more protections.

Advocates treat crypto’s lack of a trusted intermediary as a virtue. The answer to the lack of oversight that allowed SBF to defraud so many people of so much money, unnoticed, would appear to be to put cops on the beat and laws on the books — finding an analogue in the traditional financial system for every crypto entity, and imposing matching oversight. But subject these entities to the same requirements as their fuddy-duddy off-blockchain counterparts, and you’ve also gutted much of their raison d’être. That’s all the more reason to do it.